ipuntplatypi wrote:
So, I may be misunderstanding something here, but if DW had known that the price of currency was going up, providing players the opportunity to buy at pre-nerf prices would be effectively giving away gil. This sort of change is exactly what someone selling insurance does not want to see.
Unless DW is playing the long con and thinks that folks will buy his insurance now seeing that it could pay off for them, and he has insider knowledge of some impending change that will reduce the price of currency once again, then it really wouldn't have made any sense for him to sell protection against price increases while knowing that the price increase was on the way. I don't know what history there is with him using insider info to manipulate things in-game, but making those accusations in this instance is essentially vilifying him for using insider info to set up a charity.
Agreed. However with the way someone puts it when they make it seem too good to be true, they are probably trying to bait the opposite reaction. In that sense, TH would be getting buffed, and thus he'd profit from his call option contracts as the strike price (current market price) would go down due to more drop rates.
Nonetheless, playing options on a private FFXI server is a super tryhard thing to do and to me implies he either (1) knows something is coming, or (2) he's trying to brag that he knows stock market terminology to an audience that probably vastly isn't familiar. In reality, this is handled by a trustworthy third party options broker bound by law and here you'd have no hard contract that binds this guy to actually do what he says he's going to do. It would be pretty easy to screw this guy over if he actually stayed true to his word since you yourself can have an influence on market prices, so I don't know why anyone would EVER do this unless they had insider information.