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 Post subject: Break rate is too high.
PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 6:05 pm 
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Joined: Fri Jul 08, 2016 2:38 pm
Posts: 517
Location: Port Windurst
I just had 11 breaks over 47 synths on Kabura Arrows with my nq ring on. My break rate should be 9% with this setup. My break rate was instead 23.4%. In what hecking world is this acceptable? This isn't just "a streak of bad luck".

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 6:25 pm 
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Hi Cil - It sounds like you had a streak of bad luck.

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PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 7:19 pm 
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Joined: Wed Oct 10, 2018 2:48 pm
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My statistics is a little rusty, but if 11/47 is the sample mean (1 = break, 0 = success), and the standard deviation is 34.1% for a normal distribution, then a 95% Confidence Interval puts the break chance between 13.6% and 33.1%.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 7:19 pm 
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Joined: Sat May 26, 2018 12:41 am
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I believe that world would be Nasomi. Price should adjust for the breaks if people calculate their profits accordingly.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 7:21 pm 
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Joined: Sat Mar 03, 2018 9:01 pm
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KingLoser wrote:
I believe that world would be Nasomi. Price should adjust for the breaks if people calculate their profits accordingly.

Yeah, so it can get undercut like everything else and not sell for a month.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 7:22 pm 
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The rent is too damn high.


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PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 8:43 pm 
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Joined: Tue Mar 22, 2016 7:09 pm
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Wolffhardt wrote:
Hi Cil

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PostPosted: Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:40 am 
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Joined: Sun May 20, 2018 10:30 am
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47 synths is not a meaningful sample size.


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PostPosted: Sat Nov 10, 2018 1:47 pm 
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Joined: Mon Mar 26, 2018 6:48 pm
Posts: 54
i believe we already had a large thread about the current shit HQ rates and insanely high break rates with an adequate sample size from many people giving input and concluded that its "working as intended" and wont be fixed because it was reported to nas every day for like a month and yea, here we are. adjust prices accordingly

btw dont get too into discussing the potential coding of it or else nabutso will tell you to stop and make threats like he's actually somebody :lol: all you need to know is he crafted 1000 bottles of orange juice and verified that the server is perfect


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PostPosted: Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:36 pm 
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Joined: Thu Mar 29, 2018 3:16 am
Posts: 187
Lmao he did not do the orange juice thing

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